Chapter 11

Indeed, Hei Hudie's chances of winning were already extremely slim.

In the game of Neurosis, an advantage in memory is the most direct advantage, and on this point… Hei Hudie was no match for Feng Bujue.

However, there was still one other factor that could influence the outcome, and that was… luck.

In the previous round, although Feng Bujue had taken a whopping 24 points, as he himself had said, given his "absolute memory," such a score wasn't too outrageous from a probabilistic standpoint.

Apart from the inevitable 9 points, the remaining points could be seen as a case of "five successes in six gradually decreasing probability card flips," and this "gradually decreasing probability" was approximately from 20% down to 7% before terminating.

Looking at it this way, what he did in that round… could be categorized as "pretty good luck."

There was nothing particularly special about it, so this wasn't "gambling," just a "game," a game that Brother Jue considered "boring."

In addition, when that round ended, his seemingly "good" luck had actually shifted…

Because the last three cards Feng Bujue flipped were all cards with "one side of the pair already revealed;" that is, when he finally handed over the right to flip cards, the number of "known pairs" on the table had increased from three pairs to six pairs.

Coupled with the fact that the number of unknown cards on the table had decreased… the probability of the opponent flipping a scoring card was once again raised to over 15%.

…………

Eleventh round, Hei Hudie's turn to flip cards.

After Brother Jue cleared the table, the number of remaining known cards was already small, so Hei Hudie was even more confident about the suits of those cards.

The first hand, she still followed her own rhythm, flipping over a new card near the known cards.

As a result, this was a card with "both sides revealed," that is, a "scoring card."

Hei Hudie didn't have the luxury of Feng Bujue's "I remember it clearly, but I can save it for later," she would definitely take the points whenever there was a scoring opportunity.

Therefore, she immediately turned back to find the other side of the newly flipped card… and succeeded.

"The lady gets three points," the referee's announcement came immediately, "You may continue to flip cards."

The next hand, the situation remained…

Hei Hudie flipped over another scoring card, and she quickly converted it into points.

The next hand, it was still the same…

In this way, Hei Hudie calmly evened the score, and… due to the reduction in the number of cards, even with only three pairs of known cards, the probability of her flipping a scoring card in the next hand was higher than 7%.

"Heh… how about it?" At this moment, Hei Hudie smiled and said to Brother Jue, "It's not like I have no chance at all, right?"

"Hmph… I was already mentally prepared for this kind of luck gap before the duel started," Feng Bujue responded indifferently, "In short… you can flip as much as you want before reaching 'that score'."

"That score?" Hei Hudie pondered for two seconds upon hearing this, then continued, "Oh~ you mean… 33 points?"

Hei Hudie had undoubtedly carefully studied the rules of the game before the duel, so she knew that 33 points was a very crucial score.

According to the rules, after a total of "twenty-five sides" have been revealed by both sides, players can end the game by flipping two cards of "Sukhavati," entering the settlement phase.

Then, aside from the kind of victory or defeat with a huge gap, taking a game where both sides have scored some points as an example… twenty-five sides can be split into twelve pairs and thirteen, or eleven pairs and fourteen.

In the case of twelve pairs and thirteen, the score ratio is 36 to 39. At this time, the losing side flips Sukhavati, plus an extra 10 points, 46 to 39, can reverse the defeat.

In the case of eleven pairs and fourteen, the score ratio is 33 to 42. At this time, the losing side flips Sukhavati, plus an extra 10 points, 43 to 42, also reversing the defeat.

That is to say, in this game, if the side that has fallen behind wants to make a comeback, there is a prerequisite, that is, they must get at least "eleven sides" to meet the minimum condition for a comeback.

Theoretically, the most ideal situation is: in the round when twenty-four sides have been revealed on the table, it is the turn of the lagging side to flip cards. At the moment they flip the twenty-fifth side, they happen to have 33 points, and then… he or she flips "Sukhavati" to end the game.

For the lagging side, this is the fastest and best comeback mode. If they continue to drag it out… the score gap may gradually widen, because when there are not many unknown cards left on the table, the probability of flipping a scoring card will greatly increase, and it is not impossible to flip two "one side revealed" cards in a row. At that time, the side with the stronger memory and fewer mistakes will definitely have a higher scoring rate than the opponent.

"Since you know," Feng Bujue's tone still seemed very relaxed. Anyway, it was right that his opponent knew the meaning of this number, there was no need to be surprised, "Then please work towards this direction."

"Heh… I will, without you telling me," Hei Hudie responded, then continued to flip cards…

…………

By the end of the eleventh round, the score comparison between the two sides was 24 to 30, with Hei Hudie in the lead.

After that conversation, Hei Hudie flipped two more scoring cards, consuming the paired cards among the known cards until only one pair was left.

Then, in the last three card flips… she actually flipped two "zero side cards" in a row, that is, cards with no known suits, and… she also flipped the second "Sukhavati."

Therefore, when this round ended, there were only two pairs of known pairs on the table, and… the positions of the two "Sukhavati" cards were also clear.

Currently, the total score of the two people is 54 points, that is, "eighteen sides" have been revealed. The number of cards left on the table is 48; among them, there are 20 known cards, consisting of 2 Avici, 2 Sukhavati, 4 "both sides revealed" cards, and 12 "one side revealed" cards.

There are a total of 28 unknown cards, that is, 2 Avici and 26 pair cards.

That is to say, at the beginning of the twelfth round, the probability of Feng Bujue flipping a scoring card among the unknown cards is two out of twenty-eight, which is basically the same as the probability of his failed flip in the previous round, only about 7%…

Seeing this, some people will definitely say, can't he just not flip unknown cards? Flip three known cards, and then throw the same situation to the opponent, wouldn't that be enough?

The answer is—yes, but… it doesn't solve the problem.

According to the "flipping rules" of Triple Neurosis, players must flip at least one unknown card in three consecutive rounds, otherwise they will be penalized five points.

The intention of this rule is to prevent players from consuming their flipping opportunities by constantly flipping the cards that have appeared before. As for why it is "three consecutive rounds," that is naturally because some people may make mistakes in remembering cards, resulting in a situation where "three known cards are flipped and no points are scored"; in this case, people who fail to attack for two consecutive rounds will have to bear the risk of being penalized in the third time…

Combining the current example, if Feng Bujue chooses to flip three known cards in this round to consume his flipping right, then when it is Hei Hudie's turn, the other party can also do the same… anyway, Hei Hudie doesn't care. As a party with a weaker memory, she is happy to see both sides constantly flipping old cards to help her consolidate her memory.

Besides, she is the "second attacker." In a situation where no one is willing to flip new cards, the second attacker at least has the advantage of "one card," because the first attacker will definitely expose one more new card than the opponent.

Of course, Feng Bujue was not the kind of person who would deliberately flip known cards to defend.

Real gamblers and villains understand… that kind of approach cannot win.

For example, in the game where Brother Jue scammed Jin Mianchou in the guessing numbers game… if he was thinking at the time, "What if I only guess three or four numbers?" or "What if the other party really hangs on until the seventh round?", then he would retreat, avoid… and in the end, he would lose.

The devils on the gambling table will not respond to the demands of the weak. On the contrary, they will devour those people…

Retreating, evading, giving up thinking, and instead praying and begging in the heart, these behaviors will only lead to failure and destruction.

The people who can win are the ones who are sure at that moment—"I will definitely guess more than 5 numbers." Perhaps they will die if they can't guess, but death… doesn't matter.

Only such will can guide "fortune" and summon "victory."

…………

"Ah… as expected…"

Twelfth round, first hand, the unknown card that Feng Bujue flipped open… was a "one side revealed" card.

At this moment, he had two choices: The first was a relatively stable approach—give up continuing to flip new cards, turn back to flip two known cards, and end his round. In this way, he only added a pair of known pairs to the opponent and reduced an unknown card. When it was Hei Hudie's turn to attack, the probability of flipping a scoring card in the first hand was three out of twenty-seven, about 11%.

The second, more risky approach, was to flip another unknown card. If the second card he flipped was the same suit as the first card, he could score.

So… what is the success rate of doing this? What are the risks of failure?

Through the known cards, it can be calculated that among the 27 unknown cards at the moment, 22 are pairs, that is, "one side revealed" cards, 3 are "both sides revealed" cards, and 2 are hell cards.

If Feng Bujue wants to score, he must flip the "Adductor Magnus" card that he flipped in the first hand of this round, and the probability of that is only about 3%. If he fails to flip it, he faces three possibilities…

First, he has an 81% chance of flipping a "one side revealed" card, adding another pair of known pairs to the opponent, making the probability of the opponent flipping a scoring card in the next flip rise to more than 15%.

Second, he has a 7% chance of flipping one of the other two "both sides revealed" cards, allowing the opponent to directly gain a 100% scoring opportunity in the next round.

Third, also a 7% chance, he will flip a hell card, and this… is already the best result. This will increase the opponent's probability of drawing a scoring card to 11.5%, which is not a big increase.

In summary, no matter how you look at it, it is better to choose a stable approach here.

But…

"According to this trend, if I flip another one, it will probably be…" Feng Bujue mumbled as he flipped the second unknown card.

As a result, he flipped a "both sides revealed" card.

Because he has already flipped two cards in this round and they are different suits, it is impossible to score. Therefore, the card he flipped can basically be determined to become the opponent's score.

"Well… it seems that fortune is completely on your side," Feng Bujue looked indifferent to this worst result, "Presumably you will get more than 6 points in the next round."

As he said that, he flipped the third card before the other party could respond.

What was incredible was… he actually flipped another unknown card; this time, he flipped a "one side revealed" card, so another pair of revealed pairs was added to the table.

"What exactly does this guy want to do…" Hei Hudie couldn't understand, she thought to herself, "I can still understand the second hand… a man as arrogant and narcissistic as him may indeed be willing to take a chance at this moment; but this third hand… under the premise that it is impossible to score and almost certainly gives me more advantages, he still flips unknown cards?"

"Please…" The next second, Feng Bujue's voice interrupted Hei Hudie's thoughts, "I know what you're thinking… hehe… don't hesitate for the things you can't understand. You should take the points you should take before your memory fades. If you make a mistake here… then it would be too easy for me to win."